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The Road to 1,991

The Road to 1,991

3/13/2020

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By: Javier Gomez, Sophomore
The race for the 2020 presidential election is tighter than ever before, and it is only getting started.

The Iowa Caucus Chaos

PicturePhoto of a stadium holding an Iowa Caucus.
The Democratic candidate elections for the Iowa Caucus began on February 3, 2020. There influence is monumental because the Caucus essentially represents “a neighborhood meeting of sorts-for politically active, like-minded people.” People gather in gyms, auditoriums, or other community conference-like places and begin the process of moving throughout the caucus site. NBC News describes how “supporters of former Vice President Joe Biden will gather in one corner and backers of Sens. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts others.” 

This year, the Iowa caucus had some complications as they used a new app that was rushed and flawed from the beginning. Fears of inaccuracy and miscount in the ballots caused Tom Perez, Democratic National Committee Chair, to call on “state party officials to recanvass the results of Monday’s caucuses” (NBC News). This event caused a disruption in the candidates campaign and sent the Democratic into chaos. But amid the recount, no changes were made to the original count.  

The results were super tight between Democratic candidate Pete Buttigieg and Bernie Sanders. Pete Buttigeig scored 26.2% with 14 pledged delegates while Bernie Sanders scored 26.1% with 12 pledged delegates(a tight discrepancy of 0.1). Other contenders such as Elizabeth Warren scored 18.0% with 8 pledged delegates, Joe Biden scored 15.8 with 6 pledged delegates, and Amy Klobuchar with a score of 12.3% with 1 pledged delegate. The rest of the contenders scored poorly and did not receive any pledged delegates; all according to CNN Politics and The New York Times.

The Reorganization of New Hampshire

After the chaos and unorganization of the Iowa Caucus, all eyes were upon the second primary state, New Hampshire. Voting took place on February 11, 2020 and the results were looking favorably toward Bernie Sanders. 24 pledged delegates were at stake at the New Hampshire Primary.

​With the results coming in, Bernie was the projected winner of New Hampshire. Sanders scored 26.5% and won 9 pledged delegates, Buttigeig was a close second scoring 24.3% and earning the same total of 9 pledged delegates, and Amy Blobuchar scored 19.7% and earned 6 pledged delegates. Unfortunately and as a big shocker, Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden poorly came in 4th and 5th; “a stunning result for two candidates who were neck and neck for national front-runner status as recently as October — and NBC News projected Tuesday that neither of them would meet the threshold to collect any delegates.”(NBC News). Warren scored 9.2% with 0 pledged delegates and Biden scored a 9.4% with 0 pledged voters.

South Carolina Changed Everything

Picture
Eyes were on South Carolina on Friday, February 28th. That day, a rather important Democratic primary was held. You may ask why is South Carolina important? Well South Carolina, according to the New York Times, “It’s the first primary with a large black electorate.” It’s one of the first early voting states that has the highest concentration on African American voters.

 This primary, asserts NBC News, “is seen as a strong indicator of how well the candidates are performing with the key Democratic constituency.” Shortly after polls closed, Joe Biden was projected to win all of South Carolina.

Biden won the state of North Carolina by 48.6% and a total of 39 delegates, with Bernie Sanders coming in second with 19.8% and a total of 15 delegates (according to CNN politics, exit polls declared that Sanders did not capture the attention of African American voters than anticipated). With this victory in the South Carolina primary, Biden closed the delegate gap between Bernie Sanders.

This victory in South Carolina may catapult and set momentum to Joe Biden’s campaign and increase his chances of winning big in the upcoming Super Tuesday. With the results of the South Carolina Primary, billionaire businessman,Tom Steyer, decided and announced that he was exiting the race- stating “he couldn’t see a “path where I can win.” Next up, Super Tuesday!

Super Tuesday-March 3rd-The Game Changer ​

PicturePhoto capturing all states that held their primaries during Super Tuesday.
What is Super Tuesday, this monumental day everyone always talks about? According to The Washington Post, “Super Tuesday is the single day where most states hold primaries or caucuses.” Over 16 states hold primaries or caucuses which is inevitable to the Democratic nominees as “more than a third of all delegates (1357 delegates) for the Democratic National Convention were up for grabs on this day.” 

Results started coming in as soon as Wednesday morning, when Biden was caught seamlessly in the lead, right in front of Bernie Sanders, Mike Bloomberg, and Elizabeth Warren. Joe Biden won 10 states including Alabama (63.2%), Arkansas (40.4%), Maine (A tight race between Sanders of a discrepancy of 1.1 percent; 34.0%), Minnesota (38.6%), North Carolina (43.0%), Massachusetts (33.4%), Oklahoma (38.7%), Tennessee (41.7%), Texas (34.5%), and Virginia (53.3%). Although Joe Biden scored big on Super Tuesday, Bernie Sanders, another Democratic nominee, won slightly big as well with scoring over 4 states with high populous votes. Bernie Sanders won Utah (34.6%), Vermont (50.7%), Colorado (36.3%), and is currently on track to win California, the biggest decider between the 2 top opponents. Why is California so important, you might ask? 

Originally California’s primary elections were held in June, a date near the end of primary elections. According to The San Diego Union-Tribune “Gov. Jerry Brown signed a bill in 2017 moving up the date with bipartisan support.” California has roughly 415 delegates, making it the state with the most delegates and a huge prize toward the Democratic nominees. California is also a tricky situation due to it’s “size and pricey media markets”. According to Vox ``To do well there, candidates must make sure they conduct outreach to a diverse electorate: 31% of eligible voters are Latino, 15% are Asian American, and 7% are African American.” As of now, Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders is in the lead and projected to win the state. This win can catapult his chances of being elected the Democratic candidate for the 2020 general elections. Sanders is at 33.6%, roughly 8.4 points ahead of Joe Biden (25.2%). 

If the results of Super Tuesday weren’t enough, the dropouts are shockers. Hours before Super Tuesday was to begin, 59-year-old Minnesota senator, Amy Klobuchar,  announced on March 2nd that she was suspending her campaign and renouncing from the race. She went on to endorse former Vice President Joe Biden. The dominos kept falling after a disappointing “Super Tuesday '' where the billionaire and former New York mayor announced that he was suspending his campaign and dropping out of the race. Like Senator Amy, Mike went on to endorse Biden. Finally, the last senator to leave the presidential race as of now is Elizabeth Warren. Shortly after Super Tuesday, on March 5th, Senator Elizabeth Warren announced that she was dropping out of the 2020 presidential race. This leaves former Vice President Joe Biden and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders in the Democractic race for the presidential nominee position.

Super Tuesday 2.0/March 10th

March 10th, or commonly referred to as Super Tuesday 2.0, happened and the results are hair-rising. Joe Biden, at no surprise since his big win in Super Tuesday, made a monumental leap in his campaign and his journey toward 1,991 delegates. Out of the 5 states that were up for grabs on this day, 352 delegates, Joe Biden won four: (Michigan (52.9%), Mississippi (81,1%), Idaho (48.9%), and Missouri (60.1%). From a campaign point of view, Bernie Sanders did not “win big” and was outshined by Biden. Bernie was only able to win North Dakota with a percentage of 53.3%, a huge discrepancy from Biden (39.8%). Bernie described the night as "was not a good night for our campaign from a delegate point of view." (CNN Politics). He added that “We lost in the largest state up for grabs yesterday, the state of Michigan. We lost in Mississippi, Missouri, and Idaho.” After a tight race between Bernie and Biden, the state of Washington was finally given to Biden with a discrepancy of 1.4%. The win has, once again, given Biden momentum toward winning the democratic presidential candidacy. Is this loss becoming the end of Sanders campaign? 

The Troubles with March 17th

Picture Photo depicting the amount of delegates up for grab in the participating states.
The race for the democratic candidacy has been closer than ever. Another night means more delegates are up for grab...and now the states are Florida, Illinois, and Arizona, and unfortunately not Ohio. Amid the Coronavirus Outbreak that took the world by storm, Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine announced that he’ll be postponing the Ohio primary until June 2nd to help stop the spread of the outbreak.

The democratic primary has narrowed down to a two-man race between Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders. As of now, the race is looking favorably to Biden. Biden won all 3 states that participated in the primaries. Joe Biden won Florida with 61.83%, Illinois with 59.03%, and Arizona with 44.02% (Vox). Bernie did not win favorably, behind by several points averaging by 30.28 percent.

​Since we reside in Florida, it is notable to talk about the victory Joe Biden had among Latino voters. The Florida’s Democratic presidential primary showcased Biden’s strength among Latino voters, “who have been among Sander’s strongest sources of support.”(Vox). Biden did just that, “winning over a majority of the state’s latino voters, according to AP VoteCast. Latino Voters make up about fifth of the state’s democratic primary electorate, but are a very diverse group. Vox states that, “Though Cuban Americans have been more open to voting Democratic recently, they remain anti-Castro and have been wary of Sanders’ past praise of the Castro regime.” This success with the Latino group has made momentum for Biden to successfully claim the Democratic presidential candidate position. 

Postponement amid COVID-19

All democratic primaries that were scheduled for March 24th, including Georgia, have been postponed amid the recent Coronavirus outbreak.

What happens at the Democratic Convention?

What does all this talk about gathering delegates really mean in the long run? To start, The Democratic convention is scheduled to be held from July 13-16, 2020 at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin according to Wikipedia. What is the democratic convention you might ask? Well, according to Business Insider, “ At the Democratic convention, a candidate will actually be nominated when a simple majority of 1,991 out of 3,979 total pledged delegates support a given candidate.”
Picture
Picture of upcoming setting of the 2020 Democratic Convention

In Conclusion

I hope that you now have a consensus on the democratic presidential candidacy elections! The primaries have yet to finish and more delegates will be handed out until someone reaches 1991 delegates! Will Biden take home the presidential candidacy or will Bernie somehow surpass him? Time will only tell but as for now, it's best if we stay home, social distance, and keep track of the numbers. Next stop: The 2020 Presidential Elections! 

Works Cited

  • https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/us/politics/2020-presidential-candidates.html
  • https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/south-carolina-primary-results-2020/index.html
  • https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-primary-elections/south-carolina-results
  • https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/what-iowa-caucus-process-how-does-iowa-caucus-work-n1127886
  • https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2020-iowa-caucus-election-results/story?id=68333529
  • https://www.wbur.org/npr/464960979/how-do-the-iowa-caucuses-work
  • https://www.politico.com/2020-election/results/iowa/
  • https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/state/iowa
  • https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/what-iowa-caucus-process-how-does-iowa-caucus-work-n1127886
  • https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/04/us/elections/results-iowa-caucus.html
  • https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/live-blog/iowa-caucuses-live-updates-2020-democrats-make-their-final-pitches-n1128596
  • https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/south-carolina-primary-results-2020/index.html
  • https://www.vox.com/2020/3/17/21182348/march-17-primary-live-results
  • https://apps.npr.org/liveblogs/20200317-primaries/
  • https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Democratic_National_Convention​
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    Javier Gomez

    Hello! I’m Javier Gomez and this is little about me. I’m a sophomore in iPreparatory Academy.  I’m a huge makeup and music lover. I enjoy napping, writing poetry, and playing the Sims.
    ​

    Contact: 
    javierg0335871@gmail.com

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        • Small Poetry Collection
        • Hidden Figures
        • Spearheading #Kindness
        • "The King of Soul"
        • Prices are Rising, Should you be worried?
        • Our #ValuesMatter Teachers
        • Letter from the Editor
      • January 2022 >
        • Our Farewell to Carvalho
        • Letter From the Editor
        • The Peak
        • The Promethean Child
        • The Bright Futures Scholarship
        • Our #ValuesMatter Teachers
      • December 2021 >
        • The Tardigrade: The Toughest Organism
        • Should We Be Worried About Omicron?
        • My Soulmate
        • Club Spotlight: Don't Want to be First Shot Club
        • The Leaders of HIP
        • The Revolution of the "New Look"
        • Letter from the Editor
        • Our #ValuesMatter Teachers
      • November 2021 >
        • Making Someone Smile-- A Spotlight on Key Club
        • Students Becoming Teachers - HIP Club Spotlight
        • Exploring College: Florida's Top Public Universities
        • Letter From the Editor
        • Our #ValuesMatter Teachers
      • October 2021 >
        • Club Spotlight: The Music Club
        • Find your Niche: My Experience with URGENT Inc.
        • The Daily Life of the Demon King
        • A Trip to Never Forget: The Freshman Kayaking Trip
        • Are Air-Pods Bad for Your Health
        • Met Gala 2021: The Pillars of American History
        • Letter from the Editor
        • Our #ValuesMatter Teachers
      • September 2021 >
        • Exploring College: Schools in Miami
        • Detroit: Become Human - An Analysis
        • The Art of Letting Go
        • By The People, For the People, With the People
        • Letter From The Editor
        • Our #ValuesMatter Teachers
    • Archives 2020-2021 >
      • May 2021 >
        • Game Review
        • Dear Poet
        • #ValuesMatter
        • Senior Dedication 2021
      • April 2021 >
        • Dear Poet
        • Autism Awareness Month - The History and Current Controversy
        • Holocaust Remembrance
        • A Cry For Justice
        • #ValuesMatter: To Spot a Lie
        • #ZipOde
      • March 2021 >
        • Contemporary Marginalized Writers
        • Women At The Grammys
        • Being A Woman: A Poem
        • How Cooperation Enhances Life
        • Lethal League Blaze: Baseball But Actually Interesting
        • Junior Podcast
      • February 2021 >
        • Baba Chuck's Hat and Social Justice
        • 2020: The Year of Black Voices
        • 2020: A Black Girl's Testimony
        • The Economics of Valentine's Day
        • #ValuesMatter: Kindness
        • The Fate of the Summer 2020 Olympic Games: What Does their Future Hold?
      • January 2021 >
        • Yes, Ms. Gorman. It’s been some “hill,”
        • Junior Journeys: Buff Up Your Resume
        • My Collection of Poems
        • Hello, My Name Is
        • 2 Realities In 1 Game
        • Have No Fear of Failure
      • December 2020 >
        • Ho Ho Holiday Movies Ranked
        • SPACE DOGGO: The One Adventure of Chris Snoop
        • More Than A Game
        • Op-Ed on Patriotism: The Difference Between Patriotism and Nationalism
        • The Root of All Bias
        • Adventures of Quarantine
      • November 2020 >
        • College Essay: There is no life without water
        • My Love Letter To All Lowerclassmen
        • Rainy Weather
        • The Fraud of Voter Fraud Accusations
        • #ValuesMatter: Citizenship
        • City Behind the Mountains
        • Spotlight on Literacy
      • October 2020 >
        • Tenant Movie Review
        • Hispanic Heritage Month
        • Dear Poet....
        • The Senior Struggle
        • ¡Viva LA Responsabilidad!
      • September 2020 >
        • How Do I Join The Coast Guard?
        • Values Matter: Respect
        • Teacher Check-In
        • A Short History on K12
    • Archives 2019-2020 >
      • May 2020 >
        • Senior Dedication A-L
        • Senior Dedication M-Z
        • A Letter from a Sophomore to Seniors
        • Dear Poet
        • Mother's Day Collage
      • April 2020 >
        • The Senior Section >
          • How Coronavirus Has Ruined Senior Year
          • Senior Picnic Review
          • For Every High School Senior
        • Personal Reflections >
          • Embarking on a New Journey at Home
          • A COVID-19 Journal
          • My Crazy Experience with Quarantine
          • I Am Not Endorsing Joe Biden
          • Inspiration Found in 10 Minute Stories
        • Internet Interviews >
          • Interview of Odette Albert (My Grandma)
          • A Quarantine Interview
        • Prescribed Poetry >
          • "Sleep Evaded"
          • "In Front and Behind the Veil of Change"
          • "Trapped"
        • The Middle School Corner >
          • Fictional Channel 20 News Interview
          • "Quarantine Fidgets"
          • A Glimpse into the Virus
          • My Quarantine Journal
          • Solidarity
        • The Values that Matter during COVID-19: Sympathy
      • March 2020 >
        • Malala Yousafzai: My Women's History Inspiration
        • An Excerpt of "Our Ethical America"
        • Primaries Update: The Road to 1,991
        • Scarlet: A Short Story
        • The History of St. Patrick's Day
        • Phoenix Flyer Horoscopes: April
        • March Letter from the Editor
      • February 2020 >
        • Kobe Tribute
        • The Corona Virus
        • Single on Valentine's Day Survival Guide
        • #NotAgainSU
        • My Mother, My Inspiration
        • February Letter from the Editor
      • January 2020 >
        • iPrep Survival Guide
        • Flaws of Tik Tok
        • The Women in My Life
        • Apocalyptic Wildfires
        • Miami's Best Affordable Experiences
        • January Letter From the Editor
      • December 2019 >
        • A Winter Poem
        • The Best Holiday Movies
        • Who Watches the Watchmen
        • New Year's Past
        • A Look into the ACT and College Board
      • November 2019 >
        • The Dark Truth About Black Friday
        • The Day of the Dead
        • iPrep and United Way
        • Throwback Thursday: iPrep's 10 Year Anniversary
        • Modern Learning
        • November Letter From the Editor
      • October 2019 >
        • "Miami Fall"
        • "Parasite" Movie Review
        • What Disney character resembles your faculty the most?
        • Presidential Quarterbacks
        • Hispanic Heritage Month
        • A 2019 Kind of Fear
        • October Letter From the Editor
      • September 2019 >
        • A Warm, Colorful, Sun-filled Autumn in Miami
        • A Look into iPrep's Colorful Club Rush
        • The Truth Behind Cinco de Mayo
        • "About Me"
        • Our First Scare
    • Archives 2018-2019 >
      • May 2019 >
        • The Transition of Power
        • iPrep's Night of Royalty
        • Why You Should Join Essay Competitions
        • Sophomore Year is a Beta Version of Junior Year
        • It's All About That Yearbook!
        • A Dante's Inferno Inspired Poem
      • April 2019 >
        • AP Prep Guide
        • Learning About My Korean Heritage
        • Become One With Your Fandom
        • #Unpopular Opnions
        • Langston Hughes Dedication
        • iPrep Scavenger Hunt
        • Sylvia Plath Inspired Poem
      • March 2019 >
        • Boss Women of Indomitable Spirit
        • π Day at iPrep
        • Poetry Month at iPrep
        • Dedication to Maya Angelou
        • Preparing for Poetry Month
        • Champions of Human Rights Advocacy
        • Middle School Corner >
          • The Importance Your Heart Plays
          • Homeless Awareness Follow-up
          • Purvis Young: Self-Taught Artist
      • February 2019 >
        • Black History: My Heritage and Culture
        • Reactive or Proactive?
        • The BEST Prep for the SAT and ACT
        • Female Empowerment in the Super Bowl
        • iSurvive iPrep: Second Edition
      • January 2019 >
        • Honoring the Legacy of MLK
        • Get in Touch with Culture
        • Celebrating MLK Day
        • An Easy Way to Build Your Vocabulary
        • Getting to Know Your House of Reps
        • iPrep Survival Guide
      • December 2018 >
        • Disco Night at iPrep
        • 2018: A Year to Pay Respect to Activism
        • The Piano Slam was Full of Crescendos >
          • Middle School Poetry Slam
        • Give Love on this Holiday Season
        • Middle School Corner >
          • National Impaired Driving Prevention Month
          • National Teenage Homeless Month Awareness
          • 8th Grade at The Wynwood Walls
      • November 2018 >
        • Let's Honor Them In A Different Way
        • National Adoption Awareness Month
        • 2018 Midterm Elections Were Closer Than A Snail's Race
        • Middle School Corner >
          • Midterm Mashup
          • Local Businesses in Miami
          • Teen Stress
        • The First Thanksgiving (Is Not What You Think)
        • Internship at the Frost
        • T.H.U.G. L.I.F.E.
      • October 2018 >
        • October is iPrep's Busiest Month?!
        • Teens Can Get Breast Cancer, Too
        • Events that Make Autumn a Reality
        • Swing into Fun!
        • Which Teacher Are You??
        • Newsflash: History is Gay
        • Middle School Corner >
          • Halloween Origins
          • Cultural Appropriation
          • Childhood Cancer Awareness
          • Depression Awareness
      • September 2018 >
        • You Won't Believe What's Happening This Month!
        • Your Teacher's Race Affects Your Learning
        • Where Do Your Monsters Hide?
        • Mi Pequeño País
        • How to Teleport to Cuba
        • New Way to Procrastinate?
        • Crises and Cultures
        • Mi Corazón, Mi Amor, My Home, Ecuador
      • August 2018 >
        • Advice for Freshmen
        • What's New?
        • Summer Academic Programs
        • Summer Employment
        • Middle School Tablets
        • Clubs @ iPrep
    • Archives 2017-2018 >
      • May 2018 >
        • Academic Reflection
        • From Your Editor
        • Guess That Senior Baby
        • Scholarship Thank Yous
        • Senior Activities Recap
        • Senior Advice
        • Senior Journey
        • Senior Reflection
      • April 2018 >
        • Alumni Advice
        • Day of Silence
        • Holocaust Remembrance Day
        • March For Our Lives
        • Miami Zine Fair
        • National Poetry Month
        • National Siblings Day
        • Poetry: Metaphors
        • Silver Knight Spotlight
      • March 2018 >
        • What is a Woman?
        • #MeToo
        • Silver Knight Spotlight
        • Women in Science
        • Women of Tomorrow
      • #iPrepStandsWithMSD >
        • Artistic Reactions
        • From the Editor
        • Informative Articles
        • Letters to Representatives
        • Middle School Responses
        • Opinion Pieces
        • Pain in Poetry
      • February 2018 >
        • Black History Month Poetry
        • Eva Williams Mack
        • GatorMUN Recap
        • GSA Weddings
        • Movie Review: Spirited Away
        • NBA All-Star Game
        • Senior Column: GradBash
        • Silver Knight Spotlight (February)
        • Super Bowl Sunday
      • January 2018 >
        • Affordable Arts in Miami
        • CodeArt Miami
        • Dr Martin Luther King Jr. Day
        • NEHS Literacy Challenge
        • New Year's Resolutions
        • Representation in Media
        • Senior Column: Acceptances & Expenses
        • Silver Knight Spotlight
        • Time's Up Movement
      • December 2017 >
        • Club of the Month: Model UN/Social Studies Club
        • iPrep Happenings: Junior Class Field Trip
        • Politics: Net Neutrality
        • Senior Column: Silver Knight
        • Sports: Miami Heat
        • World AIDS Day
      • November 2017 >
        • Black Friday History
        • Editor's Corner: Traditions
        • Memorable Thanksgiving Meals
        • National Adoption Awareness Month
        • Native American Heritage Month
        • No-Shave November
        • Senior Column: Applications
        • The Real History of Thanksgiving
        • Transgender Awareness Month
      • October 2017 >
        • Breast Cancer Awareness Month
        • Club of the Month: Robotics
        • Columbus Day
        • Harvest Festival
        • IT Movie Review
        • LGBTQ+ History Month
        • LGBTQ+ Poets
        • October Editorial
        • Red Ribbon Week
        • Senior Column
        • Sports
      • September 2017 >
        • Editor's Corner: September Editorial
        • iPrep Happenings: United Way
        • Senior Advice Column: Welcome Back
        • The Power of Twitter Fingers
        • My Cuban Heritage
        • An Afro-LatinX's Perspective
        • Havana and Miami's Musical Merge
        • Concert of a Lifetime: Coldplay
        • International Day of Peace
    • Archives 2016-2017 >
      • May 2017 >
        • Academic Signing Day 2017
        • Freshman Firsts
        • Junior Jubilance
        • Ms. Arnold's Retirement
        • Poetry Slam
        • Sophomore Success
        • Teacher Appreciation Week 2017
      • April 2017 >
        • Day of Silence
        • Earth Day
        • Miami Beach Gay Pride Parade
        • Senior Advice: College Acceptances
        • Why Study Abroad?
        • 9,700 Miles
      • March 2017 >
        • Dealing With Test Stress Anxiety
        • iPrep's Women Marchers
        • Wondrous Women
        • Pi-Ku Competition
        • Poetry Corner
      • February 2017 >
        • Articles
        • Who Inspires Me?
        • Lunch Date
        • Mini Biographies
      • January 2017 >
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      • December 2016 >
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